基于CRC的ASM信号维特比纠错算法

为提高甚高频数据交换系统(very high frequency data exchange system, VDES)中应用特定消息(application-specific messages, ASM)的解码性能, 提出一种基于循环冗余校验(cyclic redundancy check, CRC)的改进维特比纠错算法。通过合理降低符号状态数和使用部分CRC参与纠错, 使该算法平衡了纠错性能和计算量, 同时提出了新的分支度量以解决过于理想化的传统分支度量导致的性能损失。仿真表明, 新分支度量相比传统分支度量提升了1 dB的误帧率(packet error rate, PER)性能, 在用12个CRC寄存器参与纠错的条件下，该方法比相干解调算法提升了1 dB的PER性能, 同时通过合理的符号状态数降低策略将计算量降为传统算法的1/4。     

Google Trends and the forecasting performance of exchange rate models

In this paper, we use Google Trends data for exchange rate forecasting in the context of a broad literature review that ties the exchange rate movements with macroeconomic fundamentals. The sample covers 11 OECD countries’ exchange rates for the period from January 2004 to June 2014. In out‐of‐sample forecasting of monthly returns on exchange rates, our findings indicate that the Google Trends search query data do a better job than the structural models in predicting the true direction of changes in nominal exchange rates. We also observed that Google Trends‐based forecasts are better at picking up the direction of the changes in the monthly nominal exchange rates after the Great Recession era (2008–2009). Based on the Clark and West inference procedure of equal predictive accuracy testing, we found that the relative performance of Google Trends‐based exchange rate predictions against the null of a random walk model is no worse than the purchasing power parity model. On the other hand, although the monetary model fundamentals could beat the random walk null only in one out of 11 currency pairs, with Google Trends predictors we found evidence of better performance for five currency pairs. We believe that these findings necessitate further research in this area to investigate the extravalue one can get from Google search query data.     

Exchange rate forecasting and the performance of currency portfolios

We examine the potential gains of using exchange rate forecast models and forecast combination methods in the management of currency portfolios for three exchange rates: the euro versus the US dollar, the British pound, and the Japanese yen. We use a battery of econometric specifications to evaluate whether optimal currency portfolios implied by trading strategies based on exchange rate forecasts outperform single currencies and the equally weighted portfolio. We assess the differences in profitability of optimal currency portfolios for different types of investor preferences, two trading strategies, mean squared error‐based composite forecasts, and different forecast horizons. Our results indicate that there are clear benefits of integrating exchange rate forecasts from state‐of‐the‐art econometric models in currency portfolios. These benefits vary across investor preferences and prediction horizons but are rather similar across trading strategies.     

外汇欧式期权在市场不完备下的对冲误差分析

本文研究了外汇欧式期权的对冲误差问题,针对典型的静态和动态Delta对冲策略,在对冲过程不连续和利率平价公式不成立的市场不完备情形下,给出了即期对冲和远期对冲的对冲误差公式,从而能够更准确地衡量实际对冲组合产生的风险.在研究Delta对冲策略过程中,本文提出了一个包含摩擦系数ε的外汇远期汇率模型,并通过分析即期对冲和远期对冲的差异,给出了最优对冲方式的判别条件.该判别条件依赖于摩擦系数ε,做市商仅通过对摩擦系数ε实时的监控,便可以选择最优的风险对冲方式,从而提高了对冲效率.本文提出的对冲误差的具体解析式和最优对冲方式的判别条件为外汇期权对冲及其风险管理提供了理论依据.实证结果表明,本文提出的期望收益差与实际对冲组合的收益差基本一致,从而验证了判别条件的合理性.     

文化线路遗产旅游体验影响因素研究——以丝绸之路为例

通过文献分析法以及访谈法拟定和选取了文化线路遗产旅游体验测评的潜变量和相应的测量变量,并基于陕西,甘肃两地丝绸之路世界遗址点景区的游客调研数据对丝绸之路文化线路遗产旅游体验评价维度进行验证性因子分析,构建了丝绸之路旅游体验影响因素的二阶五因素结构模型。结果显示:影响丝绸之路文化线路遗产旅游体验的因素并非是由资源主导,而是综合因素共同导向;遗产地旅游设施服务水平、遗产资源品质、遗产解说、活动参与感知以及遗产地环境氛围均显著影响旅游者体验质量,且以旅游设施服务能力的影响程度最大。     

Janus few layered graphene with asymmetric wettability as anti-flooding cathode supports in proton exchange membrane fuel cells

Water balance in cathode catalyst layer (CCL) is crucial for proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs). Herein, we report a novel strategy to develop a Janus few layered graphene particles (FLGP) with asymmetric wettability by varying the carbon precursors in the chemical vapor deposition (CVD) process. Using the Janus FLGP supported Pt with asymmetric wettability as the cathode of a PEMFC, a peak power density of 632 mW cm⁻² was achieved, which was about two-folds of the hydrophobic FLGP and three-folds of hydrophilic FLGP based cathode, respectively. The enhanced performance could be ascribed to the well-constructed three-phase boundary in an anti-flooding cathode, leading to enlarged electrochemical active surface area and facilitated mass transfer. This work may provide new clues for improving water management in PEMFCs.     

西川满《地狱的谷底》的遣返书写与台湾记忆 ——基于文化记忆视阈的分析

作为日本战后最早涉及台湾遣返体验与殖民地记忆的文学作品之一，日本作家西川满创作的《地狱的谷底》以生命体验与身份认同为遣返书写的两大主题，以女性不断耗散的生命体验展现遣返者作为受害者的“悲剧”，通过持续破灭的身份认同呈现遭遇巨大失败、丧失文明、内部撕裂犹如“地狱的谷底”般的日本，在此基础上进一步将台湾“记忆化”为“故乡”式的存在。西川遣返书写的最大逻辑悖论在于其构筑的“遣返者=受害者”“战后日本=地狱”的意识形态，其台湾记忆最大的情感陷阱就是通过“美化”和“忘却”的记忆重构了“事实”、代替了“事实”，这种记忆成为日本战后民族文化记忆的一部分，影响了战后日本人关于殖民和战争的认识，需要进行批判和厘清。     

web环境下关中西部非遗数字化保护平台的设计与实现

在分析关西非物质文化遗产保护现状的基础上,提出构建关西非遗数字化保护平台的必要性,设计了该平台的整体逻辑模型;在系统逻辑模型的基础上,按照软件工程的步骤,从需求分析入手,进行了开发工具的选择、数据库的详细设计;最后采用基于切割的大图实时浏览算法、VRML插件等方法,实现了该平台的主要功能。     

跳扩散下汇率变动的外商直接投资问题研究

本文在跳扩散环境下研究了汇率变动对外商直接投资的影响.首先,通过Ito公式,推导得出跳扩散环境下以本币表示的风险资产价格动力学方程.然后在终端财富预期效用最大化标准下,利用HJB方程推导最优投资策略,得出最优动态资产配置策略的近似解.最后对结果进行数值分析,定量分析了跳和汇率变化对投资商最优资产配置策略的影响.     

高校校园文化景观设计创意和表达

高校校园的文化景观不仅对其师生有潜移默化的教育作用,更会传达给师生归属感和认同感.以上海应用技术学院奉贤校区的"思贤庭"为例,在设计中结合地理位置、学科特色、功能定位、校园文化特色等,从场地原有的精神特性、历史文脉出发,演绎推导出校园文化景观的语境、符号等要素,形成了较有典型意义的校园文化景观表达模式.指出,文化景观创意的表达无需说教,可用"只言片语"的形式含蓄表达,重要的是营造出既符合功能需求又具有灵性的校园户外空间.